Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.441194 0.506022 0.576312 0.658090 0.750515 0.851634 0.970543
2025-03-23 0.337072 0.423261 0.524599 0.652139 0.807931 0.991582 1.223997
2025-03-30 0.256424 0.350531 0.469846 0.631272 0.842889 1.109649 1.470019
2025-04-06 0.205914 0.304653 0.438885 0.632921 0.904084 1.267066 1.786690
2025-04-13 0.161023 0.256978 0.396369 0.610824 0.928934 1.379039 2.058511
2025-04-20 0.136870 0.234068 0.384020 0.628026 1.009708 1.576870 2.473821
2025-04-27 0.118828 0.216784 0.376595 0.650433 1.100084 1.798585 2.950532
2025-05-04 0.101176 0.196460 0.360475 0.655686 1.163171 1.985034 3.394423
2025-05-11 0.085939 0.177188 0.342522 0.654330 1.214004 2.156408 3.832332
2025-05-18 0.073549 0.160615 0.326271 0.652805 1.263196 2.329102 4.289773
2025-05-25 0.063863 0.147327 0.313670 0.655512 1.319290 2.518387 4.794181
2025-06-01 0.056209 0.136651 0.304198 0.662344 1.383067 2.726906 5.352703
2025-06-08 0.048285 0.123915 0.288739 0.655517 1.420851 2.894200 5.858462
2025-06-15 0.043363 0.117022 0.284405 0.670887 1.504463 3.156432 6.569115
2025-06-22 0.037467 0.106517 0.270344 0.663206 1.539610 3.328343 7.123605
2025-06-29 0.033614 0.100313 0.265020 0.674010 1.615045 3.587961 7.876885
2025-07-06 0.028684 0.090141 0.248470 0.656344 1.625721 3.715803 8.375545
2025-07-13 0.026471 0.086991 0.248695 0.678588 1.728900 4.047954 9.329645
2025-07-20 0.024679 0.084661 0.250620 0.705256 1.845486 4.420222 10.403181
2025-07-27 0.022262 0.079893 0.245263 0.712620 1.916931 4.700000 11.301861
2025-08-03 0.019851 0.074563 0.237418 0.712258 1.969339 4.941849 12.138566
2025-08-10 0.017721 0.069627 0.229805 0.711323 2.020068 5.184512 12.998837
2025-08-17 0.015978 0.065582 0.224075 0.714720 2.082258 5.459870 13.958706